A mega-poll has shown Rishi Sunak's Tories are on course for a defeat worse than 1997 with their numbers reduced to just 155 seats.
Seat-by-seat analysis by YouGov suggests Labour would sweep to power with more than 400 seats - handing Keir Starmer a landslide majority of 154. The pollster said the survey shows the electoral situation for the Conservatives is getting worse - rather than better - as the general election approaches.
Mr Sunak has refused to rule out the country heading to the polls in June - but has insisted his "working assumption" is the second half of 2024. But YouGov said "the coming tidal wave projected by this model would sweep away several major Conservative figures".
Here The Mirror looks at the 11 Ministers and the Tory big beasts who could be toppled at the general election.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt
The Tory Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is the most senior minister who could lose his seat at the general election. According to the poll, his Godalming and Ash constituency could fall to the Liberal Democrats as the party targets the Tories' "blue wall" seats. The YouGov poll has the Liberal Democrats winning 35% of the vote share - compared to 32% for Mr Hunt.
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Science Secretary Michelle Donelan
Michelle Donelan's Chippenham could be another casualty of the Lib Dems sweeping up southern seats by 33% of the vote share compared to 30% for the Tories. It would represent a huge collapse in support for the Tories, who secured over 54% of the vote share in 2019.
The new mega-poll makes grim reading for Rishi SunakDefence Secretary Grant Shapps
Labour could claim a massive victory at the general election by toppling the senior Cabinet Minister Grant Shapps, according to the poll. Despite being named in speculation over who could replace Mr Sunak as Tory leader, Mr Shapps could secure just 29% of the vote share to Labour's 39% in the Welwyn & Hatfield constituency.
Transport Secretary Mark Harper
The Tory Transport Secretary Mark Harper who has overseen major disruption to the rail network and the cancelling of the northern leg of HS2 could lose his Forest of Dean seat. The poll suggests Labour could just win the seat by 36% of the vote - compared to 34% for the Tory Cabinet Minister. Mr Harper won almost 60% of the vote share back in 2019.
Chief Whip Simon Hart
The Tory Chief Whip Simon Hart could lose in the Welsh constituency of Caerfyrddin to Plaid Cymru by 22% to 25%, according to the poll. It also shows Labour in second place with 23% - leaving Mr Hart trailing behind in the seat in third place.
Illegal Migration Minister Michael Tomlinson
The recently appointed Minister for Illegal Migration Michael Tomlinson faces losing in the Mid Dorset & North Poole to the Liberal Democrats by a small margin - 33% versus 32% - according to the survey. Even if the Tory MP just about manages to cling on, it would represent a huge fall in support from the 60.4% he secured at the 2019 election.
Attorney General Victoria Prentis
Another top Tory who could be squeezed out is Rishi Sunak's Attorney General, Victoria Prentis. The frontbencher, who has represented Banbury since 2015, looks set to lose out by a 1% margin. Ms Prentis is tipped by YouGov to lose by 33% to 32% as Labour pick up the seat. It's a big drop for her, having won over 54% last time around.
Veterans Minister Johnny Mercer
Mr Mercer is expected to take a hammering in the polls if the polling is correct. The YouGov polling found he could pick up just 29% of votes in his Plymouth Moor View constituency, with Labour achieving around 41%. In 2019 he won with a majority of over 12,000, having picked up more than 60% of the vote.
Johnny Mercer will lose his seat according to the polling (Getty Images)Commons leader Penny Mordaunt
This would be a big blow to the Tories, with many singling out Ms Mordaunt as a future party leader. The Commons leader, who famously carried the sword of state at King Charles' coronation last year, would get 31% of votes in her Portsmouth North constituency, YouGov found. But that wouldn't be enough to secure victory, with Labour getting 35% and ending her time in Parliament.
Justice Secretary Alex Chalk
A Lib Dem resurgence in Cheltenham is likely to put the Justice Secretary out of a job, YouGov found. According to the polling he would pick up less than quarter - 23% - of votes. Meanwhile the Lib Dems would romp home with a huge 54%. In 2019 he won with a majority of less than 1,000, making him particularly vulnerable.
Welsh Secretary David TC Davies
Just a handful of votes could settle the Monmouth seat in Wales, the polling found. But YouGov has penciled it in as a Labour win despite the Tories and Labour both expected to get 35%. Mr Davies has been an MP since 2005 and achieved a majority of nearly 10,000 in 2019, so the fact this seat is expected to be so close shows how bad things are for the Conservatives.
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Defence Secretary Grant Shapps is one of the top Tories expected to lose his seat (AFP via Getty Images)Ex-Cabinet minister Jacob Rees-Mogg
Sir Jacob is one of the most recognisable faces on the Tory benches. The GB News presenter, who was Business Secretary under Liz Truss and Brexit Secretary under Boris Johnson, could be cast out by voters. His North East Somerset and Hanham - which is affected by boundary changes - is expected to be a Labour gain, with Keir Starmer's party getting 34% compared to the Tories' 32%.
Former Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith
Another major scalp would be the downfall of Sir Iain, who led the party from 2001 to 2003. The Chingford and Woodford Green MP is expected to be trounced by Labour. He is polled to pick up just a quarter of votes, while Labour get 55%. He held a narrow majority of just over 1,200 last time around, so is extremely vulnerable at the next general election.
:: The model is based on vote intention data collected and analysed by YouGov from 18,761 British adults interviewed from 7-27 March.
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