04 June 2024 , 08:50
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The UK might be facing a heatwave this month, with temperatures potentially soaring upwards of 30C.
James Madden from Exacta Weather said on Facebook this morning (June 4) "warm to hot" weather could return to Britain "from this weekend and much of next week", with high pressure returning.
Despite the forecast hinting at "a temporary cooler and more unsettled few days" this week, Madden highlighted third-party computer models which project a shift by the weekend. "The more favourable and likely scenario is now for a very warm period to develop during this period, and this is now likely to bring top temperatures in the mid-20Cs (lower range) and the high-20Cs (higher range) quite widely," he explained.
Madden also tipped "something even hotter to develop in and around mid-June". As per his analysis, we "could see temperatures surpassing the 30C mark or potentially higher" due to a possible heat blast either from an "African plume" or the "Azores High" - a semi-permanent centre of high pressure typically found in the Atlantic Ocean.
Madden reckons temperatures could surpass 30C (stock) (Getty Images)It awaits to be seen whether temperatures will reach the official heatwave threshold. The Met Office defines a heatwave as "when a location records a period of at least three consecutive days with maximum temperatures meeting or exceeding a heatwave temperature threshold". The threshold varies by UK county from 25C to 28C.
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BBC Weather's long range forecast also suggests a rise in heat could be on the horizon next week due to high pressure coming from the Azores High.
According to the BBC forecast for June 10 up until June 16: "There is also the possibility of areas of low pressure moving generally north or north-west of the UK later this week, allowing the high pressure of the Azores High to spread across the southern part of the UK, at least temporarily. This would lead to warmer, calmer and slightly drier conditions particularly in the southern areas."
Yet, it cautions: "A renewed build-up of a stronger block of high pressure over Scandinavia could lead to a drier and warmer easterly or south-easterly flow, particularly in the northern and eastern parts of the UK, and wetter conditions further west and south."
The Met Office's forecast from June 8 through to June 17 projects "blustery showers" will endure in northern regions this weekend, accompanied by possible showers "across southern areas". Although there may still be showers after this, the national weather agency insists that: "There should continue to be a good deal of dry weather here." The Met Office also said there is a "small chance of a more widely settled spell developing for a time next week".