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Supercomputer predicts Euros winner after first fixtures - so is it coming home?

19 June 2024 , 10:54
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Two teams have just a 0.06 per cent chance of lifting the trophy despite WINNING their opening games
Two teams have just a 0.06 per cent chance of lifting the trophy despite WINNING their opening games

ALL 24 teams have now played at Euro 2024 after Portugal brought the first round of fixtures to a close on Tuesday with a 2-1 win over Czech Republic.

Most of the big nations came through their tournament openers with victories and will be looking to book their places in the knockout stages with another win this week.

England edged past Serbia in their opener thanks to a Jude Bellingham header eiqrkittiqttprw
England edged past Serbia in their opener thanks to a Jude Bellingham headerCredit: Getty
France sealed a 1-0 win over Austria in their first match of the Euros
France sealed a 1-0 win over Austria in their first match of the EurosCredit: Getty

But there was still room for shocks as Belgium suffered a devastating 1-0 defeat to Slovakia.

Italy, Holland and Portugal narrowly avoided dropping points as they came from behind to win.

England and France edged past Serbia and Austria respectively, while Germany and Spain claimed comprehensive victories over Scotland and Croatia.

Lucas Perez pays part of own transfer fee to rejoin beloved DeportivoLucas Perez pays part of own transfer fee to rejoin beloved Deportivo

But who are now the favourites following one round of games?

Well, according to Bettingexpert's supercomputer, BETSiE, England remain the front-runners despite an unconvincing display against Serbia.

The algorithm comes to a conclusion based on "all match results from the season played across all competitions and involved countries, projecting the remainder of the campaign based on both pre-season expectations and xG earned both for and against".

And it states Gareth Southgate's men have a 20.97 per cent chance of ending the Three Lions' 58-year trophy drought.

They are three per cent ahead of France - who have reached back-to-back World Cup finals under Didier Deschamps.

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England still boast a 20.97 per cent chance of Euros glory according to the supercomputer
England still boast a 20.97 per cent chance of Euros glory according to the supercomputer

Then come hosts Germany, with Portugal and Spain the only other teams boasting a chance of glory of more than 10 per cent.

Belgium and Croatia's defeats have seen the supercomputer predict them to finish third in their respective groups.

And despite starting with wins, Romania and Slovakia are still languishing in 19th and 20th place.

What is Balenciaga and how do you pronounce it?What is Balenciaga and how do you pronounce it?

Their chances of winning the competition stand at just 0.06 per cent.


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Dylan Terry

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