The intelligence assessment warned that Iranian weapons engineers and scientists were essentially looking for a shortcut that would enable them to turn their growing stockpile of nuclear fuel into a workable weapon in a matter of months, rather than a year or more -- but only if Tehran made a decision to change its current approach.
New intelligence about Iran’s nuclear program has convinced US officials that a secret team of the country’s scientists is exploring a faster, if cruder, approach to developing an atomic weapon if Tehran’s leadership decides to race for a bomb, according to current and former US officials.
The development comes even amid signals that Iran’s new president is actively seeking a negotiation with the Trump administration.
The intelligence was collected in the last months of the Biden administration, then relayed to President Donald Trump’s national security team during the transition of power, according to the officials, who asked for anonymity to discuss sensitive details. The intelligence assessment warned that Iranian weapons engineers and scientists were essentially looking for a shortcut that would enable them to turn their growing stockpile of nuclear fuel into a workable weapon in a matter of months, rather than a year or more -- but only if Tehran made a decision to change its current approach.
US officials said they continued to believe that Iran and its supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had not made that decision to develop a weapon, officials said in interviews over the past month. But new intelligence suggests that as Iran’s proxy forces have been eviscerated and its missiles have failed to pierce US and Israeli defenses, the military is seriously exploring new options to deter a US or Israeli attack.
Iran, officials said, remains at the nuclear threshold. In the years since Trump pulled out of the 2015 nuclear accord, the country has resumed uranium production and now has plenty of fuel to make four or more bombs. But that is not enough to actually produce a weapon, and the new evidence focuses on the last steps Iran would need to turn the fuel into one.
The evidence is almost certainly bound to be part of the discussion Tuesday between Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Trump has indicated that he is in no hurry to get into a direct conflict with Iran, and seems open to a negotiation. When asked just after the inauguration whether he would support an Israeli strike on the facilities, he said: "It would really be nice if that could be worked out without having to go that further step." Iran, he added, will hopefully "make a deal."
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